Dynasty Detour 🚧

Preseason Pulse - Week of 07/21/2025

News on crazy drivers and the road to QB redemption— cruise into this week’s Detour for some major twists and turns. Can Danny Dimes do the *checks notes* impossible? Detour Country…let’s ride.

-- @dynastydetourjesse

šŸ“ Traffic Report

Keep your eyes on the road… dynasty news chaos ahead.

🚨 Rashee Rice just got sentenced ā€” 5 years probation, 30 days in jail, and over $1M in civil settlements for a multi-car, high speed crash in 2024. The judge will allow Rice to find times to serve the jail sentence.

  • Yeah, he’ll almost certainly be suspended. Experts are predicting a wide range of outcomes for the suspension. Whether that’s 4 games or 8+… the NFL hasn’t said.

  • But make no mistake — this is not going away quietly. He’s still penciled in as KC’s WR1, but that grip feels maybe a little looser.

Dynasty Quick Take:

If you’re a contender and can get a discount, I still think he’s a hold/buy. But be real with yourself — this might not just be a ā€œhe’s back in Week 5ā€ type of deal. Legal clouds don’t clear quickly.

 

 

 šŸš” Jordan Addison pled guilty to a reduced charge (ā€œwet recklessā€) after a DUI arrest last offseason.

  • Translation? Expect a 3-game suspension. It’s not official yet, but it’s coming (or something close to it).

Dynasty Quick Take:

The market on Addison hasn’t really adjusted — and honestly, I wouldn’t panic. It is possible his QB JJ McCarthy may start a bit slower than expected, though. Jalen Nailor and Tai Felton have the opportunity to win some respect & targets in his absence.

 

 

šŸ›‘ Mike Williams RETIRED. Yup — the big-bodied deep threat is hanging it up after lingering injuries and a short PUP stint.

 

Dynasty Quick Take:

This one doesn’t move the needle much unless you were banking on a bounce-back (I truly hope not). Might open a door for a depth guy on the Chargers, but the real winners are the rookies (Tre Harris and KeAndre Lambert-Smith) and Quentin Johnston — who missed the 525 yard threshold his rookie season and really needs to show something in Year 3. See our 525 Yard Rule Segment from last week for why QJ’s comeback should be an uphill battle.

 

 

 šŸ’° Second Round Rookies inking deals. The second round rookie contract holdout dam has finally broken. Several high-profile rookies have signed their contracts after trying to get guaranteed money like fellow 2nd rounder Jayden Higgins. Here are the fantasy relevant guys who’ve signed:

  • Jayden Higgins

  • Burden III

  • Shough

  • Mason Taylor

  • Terrance Ferguson

  • Elijah Arroyo

  • Tre Harris

  • Jack Bech

  • RJ Harvey

Dynasty Quick Take:

No real crazy takeaways other than one notable 2nd round omission…Quinshon Judkins. See our story last week for more on him. Yikes…

 

 

āœˆļø Garrett Wilson — Payday Time. Jets’ WR Garrett Wilson just signed a 4-year, $130 million extension (with $90M guaranteed), He’s now one of the top‑5 paid at his position, and that signals serious team commitment to him (and possibly QB Justin Fields).

 

Dynasty Take: Zero drama here—just reward for elite consistency. Wilson is a true blue-chip asset locked in for the long haul. I think he outpaces last year’s WR11 (half-PPR) finish easily.

 

Also some other news…

  • Najee Harris placed on the Non-Football Injury List following fireworks incident… still expected back before season

  • Noah Fant cut by Seahawks… Elijah Arroyo stock šŸ“ˆ, keep an eye on Fant’s destination

  • Pearsall (Hamstring), Aiyuk (Knee) headed to PUP list…Pearsall expected to be ready to go sometime during training camp, Aiyuk not likely to be back before the season starts

 -- @dynastydetourjesse

 

 

šŸ”„ Redemption Routes

Stay with me for a second… let’s take a look at the 2024 leaders in passing yards:

  1. Joe Burrow

  2. Jared Goff

  3. Baker Mayfield

  4. Geno Smith

  5. Sam Darnold

     

A few years ago, if you told me that was going to happen I would’ve laughed you out of the room. Flashback to 2022 preseason:

  • Baker & Darnold were battling it out for the starting QB job… in Carolina.

  • Geno Smith was doing the same with Drew Lock in Seattle.

  • All 3 were once top prospects, expected to set the league on fire.

  • Then they became massive busts.

  • Then — redemption.

Now, all three have clawed their way back into fantasy relevance, ripping off top-5 seasons in passing yards. These were players you could’ve had for nothing. Now?

KeepTradeCut values:

  • Baker → early to mid 2026 1st

  • Darnold → late 2026 1st to early 2nd

  • Geno → mid to late 2026 2nd

These are the redemption arcs that pay off big. So... who’s next?

 

šŸ“Š The Blueprint

Category

Baker Mayfield

Geno Smith

Sam Darnold

Draft Year

2018

2013

2018

Draft Pick

1st overall

39th overall (2nd round)

3rd overall

Bust Phase Team

Cleveland Browns

New York Jets

New York Jets

Top WRs (Bust Phase Team)

Jarvis Landry, OBJ

Jeremy Kerley, D. Nelson

Robby Anderson, Crowder

Best Bust Season Stats

2020: 3,563 yds, 26 TDs, 8 INTs

2013: 3,046 yds, 12 TDs, 21 INTs

2019: 3,024 yds, 19 TDs, 13 INTs

Rebound Team

Buccaneers

Seahawks

Vikings

Top WRs (Rebound Team)

Mike Evans, Chris Godwin

DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett

Jefferson, Addison

Age at Rebound

28

32

27

Common threads:

  • High draft capital (1st or 2nd round)

  • Poor early-career landing spots

  • All flashed at some point before getting replaced

  • Breakouts came with excellent weapons & new coaching staff

šŸ•µļøā€ā™‚ļø The Candidates

Category

Daniel Jones

Kenny Pickett

Zach Wilson

Draft Year

2019

2022

2021

Draft Pick

6th overall

20th overall

2nd overall

Bust Phase Team

New York Giants

Pittsburgh Steelers

New York Jets

Top WRs (Bust Phase Team)

Slayton, Shepard

Diontae, Pickens

Garrett Wilson, Davis

Best Bust Season Stats

2022: 3,205 yds, 15 TDs, 5 INTs

2023: 2,334 yds, 12 TDs, 9 INTs

2022: 1,688 yds, 6 TDs, 7 INTs

Current Team

Colts

Browns

Dolphins

Current Weapons

Pittman, Downs, Warren

Jeudy, Tillman, Njoku

Hill, Waddle

Current Age

28

27

26

 

šŸ The Pick: Daniel Jones

 

Vanilla Vick. Danny Dimes. Daniel Jones.

 

Jones checks nearly every box on the redemption arc blueprint:

  • āœ… High draft capital (6th overall)

  • āœ… Flashed early — 3,200 yards, 15 TDs, 5 INTs in 2022 with a depleted WR room

  • āœ… Bust phase complete — run into the ground by a bad offensive line, rotating coordinators, and a front office that never gave him true weapons

  • āœ… Now enters a legitimate situation — with Michael Pittman Jr., Josh Downs, and rookie TE Tyler Warren, a good O-Line, and a strong running game headed by Jonathan Taylor

  • āœ… New team, new system, fresh chance — all that stands in his way is Anthony Richardson (who hasn’t played a full season since high school)

Let’s be clear — this is a gamble. But it's the same kind of gamble Baker, Darnold, and Geno once were — cheap, forgotten, and one training camp away from fantasy relevance. If Jones beats out Richardson in camp or takes over due to injury, he could absolutely walk into a QB2 season on rushing upside alone.

 

And right now? He costs less than a 3rd in most leagues. If you're in superflex, this is the kind of low-risk, high-upside depth move that can make your season.

 

 šŸŸ” The Others: Zach Wilson, Kenny Pickett

 

My second pick in finding redemption would be Zach Wilson:

  • āœ… High draft capital (2nd overall)

  • āœ… Tua’s injury history leaves the door open for snaps (similar to McCarthy’s injury opening the door for Darnold)

  • āœ… Who wouldn’t want to throw the ball to Tyreek Hill & Jaylen Waddle?

I’m a little less bullish on the Pickett situation:

  • āœ… High draft capital (20th overall)

  • ā¬œļø Lot’s of QB competition (Sanders, Gabriel, Flacco)

  • ā¬œļø Worst skill position group out of the 3

  • ā¬œļø It’s the Browns 🟤 

     

 -- @dynastydetourtom

  

Got any other QBs you think are primed for redemption? Let us know. Stay tuned for another Preseason Pulse newsletter this time next week, and be sure to follow us @dynastydetour on Instagram and X/Twitter to get our reactions and opinions in between issues, as well as email us with any questions at [email protected]. See you out on the road šŸš˜ļø.

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